A lot of us thought the Republican health care bill would pass this week.
The bill was going to be voted on this week, but it never got to the Senate floor.
That’s not a good sign for Republicans in the House, which is the first chamber of Congress to be in session since the government shut down in December.
Some Republicans have already signaled they may not even support the bill.
But there’s a good chance the Republicans could pull it off.
And even if they can’t, there’s little reason to think Democrats will give up.
If you’re a Republican in your state and you think the GOP has failed on health care, you’re in good company.
Here are some reasons why.
First, there are good reasons to be optimistic about the Republican bill.
The plan will cover more people than the Affordable Care Act.
The AHCA, which Republicans call the American Health Care Act, will cover a bigger percentage of the population than any other health care law.
The Senate bill will cover about 70 percent of Americans.
There will be fewer expensive plans, fewer deductibles, and fewer plans that charge more to people with pre-existing conditions.
There are also more options available to lower-income people, including a tax credit for people who don’t pay for their own health care.
The biggest winners of the AHCA will be older Americans, those with preterm births, and those who can’t afford insurance on their own.
The Congressional Budget Office, which released its estimates of the bill in March, said the bill would reduce the number of uninsured Americans by 24 million and bring the cost of insurance down to the lowest level in the history of the Affordable Act.
So there are real gains in the bill, but also real risks.
A new Kaiser Family Foundation study found that, in a worst-case scenario, the AHC would cause 22 million fewer Americans to be insured, or 7 million fewer than under current law.
That is the number that would be uninsured if Congress passed the bill with no changes to the law, and that is more than the number who would have gained coverage under Obamacare.
But the CBO also found that if the AHCT passed without changes, 22 million people would lose coverage.
The numbers are even worse under the Senate plan, which would have reduced coverage by 26 million people, or more than half of the number insured under Obamacare, according to Kaiser.
The Republican bill also cuts taxes and spending.
It would eliminate the estate tax, the individual mandate, the payroll tax, and the state and local tax deduction, among other things.
The GOP plan would also allow states to waive some of their individual mandate requirements, but the Congressional Budget office estimates that would only raise $2.5 trillion over a decade, and only by adding to the deficit.
The ACA, by contrast, is a massive tax cut, and Republicans have promised to repeal all of it.
The CBO found that under the GOP plan, average taxpayers would pay an additional $3,000 in taxes, including $1,600 on high-earning earners and $3 on everyone else.
The cost of the GOP health care plan is far greater than the ACA, and it could have even worse consequences for those with higher incomes.
In a CBO analysis, the bill’s biggest beneficiaries would be households with incomes of $200,000 or more, including those making $1 million or more per year.
The majority of households making that amount would pay less under the plan than they would under the ACA.
And the poorest households would pay more under the AHCC than they did under Obamacare — even though their incomes would be lower.
Even if the bill passes, Republicans have little reason not to support it.
If you’re worried about the AHRC and the ACA — or if you’re just worried about whether you’ll be able to afford insurance — the Republicans have a big choice in their bill.
If they can repeal the AHCP and replace it with a replacement that will help people buy health insurance on the individual market, then they’ll have passed their bill, and you can vote with them.
If not, they can do what they’ve always done and try to make the AHACA a better one.
And if the Republicans do nothing but repeal the ACA and replace the AHCL, then you have a bill that will cost a lot of money and won’t provide many people with any real relief.
So if you want to make sure you have coverage and you want it now, get on the AHHC, vote for the AHAC, and avoid the consequences, then go for it.